{"id":1881,"date":"2021-01-14T10:40:25","date_gmt":"2021-01-14T10:40:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/en-ie\/insights\/remarkable\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T00:12:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T00:12:29","slug":"remarkable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/en-ie\/insights\/remarkable","title":{"rendered":"Remarkable"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

What a remarkable year we have all been through. From an investment perspective it was one of the most dramatic years we can remember. It seems like a long time ago now, but we started 2020 with a relatively positive outlook, suggesting that, after a very strong 2019, investors should look forward to reasonable returns from equity markets in the years ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With the world equity market finishing up a little over 6% in euro terms, perhaps we could surmise that the outturn was pretty average. However, as we all know, 2020 was a year of extremely high volatility. The market falls in Q1 were a real test of investor resolve and a stark reminder that we need to be able to withstand significant setbacks along our investment journey if we are to achieve our goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When we look back at our commentary during the year, it is pleasing to recall that in our Insights note, on the 30th of March, we highlighted the opportunity for long-term investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We felt that the combination of attractive valuations, investor \u2018panic\u2019 and supportive monetary & fiscal policy presented us with an attractive risk\/reward opportunity and that we should be optimistic about a recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thereafter, we maintained our positive stance, as we continued to observe a combination of reasonable valuations, supportive policy and economic recovery. Indeed, we believe the economic recovery could be very strong indeed, with a \u2018carpe diem\u2019 attitude likely to take hold amongst the world\u2019s consumers, as we emerge from the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The other strongly held view, we re-iterated throughout 2020, was the need to position for an increased pace of digitalisation. This has been a long-held view and whilst one could argue that parts of the market that are benefiting from this trend have become a little \u2018overexuberant\u2019 in the short term, it is clear to us that the world economy is undergoing one of the greatest transitions in history, analogous to the industrial revolution. To be very clear, we believe we are still in the \u2018foothills\u2019 of digitalisation and thus we continue to position for a changing world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To address questions around timing and the short term, markets do seem a little extended right now, so we would not be surprised to see a pullback of some sort. This naturally begs the question as to whether we should be reducing our equity exposure, so we can \u2018buy back\u2019 cheaper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, when we stand back, we see that the world equity market, in USD terms, only broke out of a multi-year trading range late last year and in euro terms the market is still below its February 2020 high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We also reflect on the fact that there is a lot of capital in the world that \u2018needs\u2019 mid-to-high single digit returns and there are very few places for that capital to go. This suggests that more capital could shift into the equity market in the coming year, given the relatively high potential return from equities relative to bonds and cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, as much as we should be prepared for a correction (we always should be!), we should also recognise the potential for markets to \u2018melt up\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, as we enter 2021, we remain positive and, as we have said for several years now, we look forward to reasonable returns over our clients\u2019 time horizons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As always, we are delighted to chat and discuss our views further with you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Happy New Year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ian Quigley<\/strong>
T: +353 1 2600080<\/a>
E: ian.quigley@brewin.ie<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

www.brewin.ie<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brewin Dolphin Capital & Investments (Ireland) Limited (trading as \u2018Brewin Dolphin\u2019 and \u2018Brewin Dolphin Ireland\u2019) has issued and is responsible for production of this publication. Brewin Dolphin is authorised and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. Brewin Dolphin is a member of Euronext Dublin and the London Stock Exchange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This publication should be regarded as being for information only and should not be considered as an offer or solicitation to sell, buy or subscribe to any financial instruments, securities or any derivative instrument, or any other rights pertaining thereto (together, \u2018investments\u2019). This publication is classified as a \u2018marketing communication\u2019 in accordance with the European Union (Markets in Financial Instruments) Regulations 2017. This means that (a) it has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and (b) it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Brewin Dolphin does not express any opinion as to the present or future value or price of any investments referred to in this publication. This publication may not be reproduced without the consent of Brewin Dolphin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The information contained in this publication has been compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but, neither Brewin Dolphin, nor any of its directors, officers, or employees accept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof or makes any representations as to its accuracy and completeness. The information contained in this publication is valid as at the date of this publication. This information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, it may be incomplete or condensed and it may not contain all material information concerning the matters discussed herein.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This publication does not constitute investment advice and has been prepared without regard to individual financial circumstances, objectives or particular needs of recipients. Readers should seek their own financial, tax, legal, regulatory and other advice regarding the appropriateness or otherwise of investing in any investments or pursuing any investment strategies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An investment in any of the investments discussed in this publication may result in some or all of the money invested being lost. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance. To the extent that this publication is deemed to contain any forecasts as to the performance of any investments, the reader is warned that forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The value of any investments can fall as well as rise. Foreign currency denominated investments are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that may have a positive or adverse effect on the value, price or income of such investments. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivative instruments, can give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brewin Dolphin (or its directors, officers or employees) may to the extent permitted by law, own or have a position in the investments (including derivative instruments or any other rights pertaining thereto) of any issuer or related company referred to herein, and may add to or dispose of any such position or may make a market or act as a principal in any transaction in such investments or financial transactions. Brewin Dolphin\u2019s conflicts of interest policy is available at www.brewin.ie\/conflicts-policy-summary<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Warning: The value of your investment may go down as well as up.<\/div>\n\n\n\n
Warning: Past performance is not reliable guide to future.<\/div>\n\n\n\n
Warning: You may lose some or all of the money you invest.<\/div>\n\n\n\n
Warning: Our investment may be affected by changes in currency.<\/div>\n\n\n\n
Warning: Any income you get from this investment my go down as well as up.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020 was one of the most dramatic years we can remember for investments. 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