\u00c9crit par David Chilton<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\u00ab Beaucoup de gens tr\u00e8s intelligents sont de tr\u00e8s mauvais investisseurs en raison de leur temp\u00e9rament. Nous devons apprendre \u00e0 ma\u00eetriser les \u00e9motions brutes et irrationnelles. \u00bb – Charlie Munger<\/p>\n\n\n\n
J\u2019adore Charlie Munger, l\u2019associ\u00e9 de Warren Buffett. Il est mon penseur favori dans le monde des placements. Je crois qu\u2019il est 10 fois plus intelligent que moi (et encore, ceux qui nous connaissent tous les deux disent que je suis loin de la r\u00e9alit\u00e9).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Apr\u00e8s 35 ans \u00e0 observer les gens g\u00e9rer leurs portefeuilles, je peux vous assurer que sa citation ci-dessus, comme d\u2019habitude, vise en plein dans le mille.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Les \u00e9motions sont le pire ennemi de bien des investisseurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Il est si difficile de ne pas c\u00e9der \u00e0 la peur et \u00e0 la cupidit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Par exemple, les chutes consid\u00e9rables du march\u00e9 boursier sont inqui\u00e9tantes. Tr\u00e8s inqui\u00e9tantes. Elles font peur. Et quand les \u00e9motions entrent en jeu, les \u00eatres humains extrapolent naturellement la tendance \u00e0 court terme et pr\u00e9sument qu\u2019elle continuera longtemps. Peut-\u00eatre ind\u00e9finiment. C\u2019est ainsi que nous sommes faits. Une fois que nous avons d\u00e9cid\u00e9 qu\u2019une situation ne s\u2019am\u00e9liorera pas ou ne fera qu\u2019empirer, notre biais de confirmation se renforce tr\u00e8s facilement. Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont omnipr\u00e9sentes. Les d\u00e9tracteurs abondent. Nos relev\u00e9s de compte semblent crier : \u00ab Tu ne peux pas continuer comme \u00e7a, imb\u00e9cile ! \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00e8s lors, nos craintes redoublent. Elles peuvent devenir intenses et m\u00eame accablantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Une l\u00e9g\u00e8re angoisse tourne \u00e0 la panique totale en un rien de temps. Et cette panique ne peut \u00eatre \u00e9limin\u00e9e qu\u2019en mettant fin \u00e0 la cause de notre trouble initial. Comment ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En stoppant le d\u00e9clin du portefeuille.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En vendant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En vendant \u00e0 perte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En d\u00e9viant de votre plan \u00e0 long terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En laissant les \u00e9motions dicter vos d\u00e9cisions et processus de placement \u00e0 la place de la raison et de la rigueur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La question qui se pose est donc la suivante : comment les investisseuses et les investisseurs peuvent-ils ma\u00eetriser leurs \u00e9motions pour \u00e9viter de prendre des d\u00e9cisions \u00ab brutes et irrationnelles \u00bb ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Eh bien, je pense \u00eatre particuli\u00e8rement bien plac\u00e9 pour r\u00e9pondre. Non pas parce que j\u2019ai lu des dizaines de livres sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie comportementale (bien que je l\u2019aie fait \u2013 je suis un homme passionnant !), mais parce que j\u2019ai \u00e9t\u00e9 aux premi\u00e8res loges pour observer un certain nombre d\u2019investisseurs prosp\u00e8res au fil des ans \u2013 des investisseurs qui ont g\u00e9r\u00e9 leurs \u00e9motions de mani\u00e8re incroyable. Certes, les th\u00e9ories et les exp\u00e9riences ing\u00e9nieuses des diff\u00e9rents auteurs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 instructives, mais rien ne vaut les le\u00e7ons tir\u00e9es de la vraie vie, qui nous apprennent ce qui fonctionne vraiment et ce qui ne marche pas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alors qu\u2019ai-je appris ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Je ne peux pas tout aborder ici (ils ne voulaient pas que j\u2019\u00e9crive tout le magazine), mais je vous ferai part de deux grandes le\u00e7ons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Commen\u00e7ons par examiner une approche souvent pr\u00f4n\u00e9e, alors qu\u2019elle fonctionne rarement. Le regrett\u00e9 Stephen Covey nous a appris l\u2019importance de laisser passer du temps entre le stimulus et la r\u00e9action. Il a pr\u00e9conis\u00e9 de prendre une pause lorsque l\u2019on est nerveux, afin que le tumulte des \u00e9motions puisse s\u2019apaiser. Puis, une fois calm\u00e9, vous pouvez examiner rationnellement vos options. De nombreux sp\u00e9cialistes des placements ont soutenu cette id\u00e9e pour faire face \u00e0 des baisses du march\u00e9 \u00e9prouvantes pour les nerfs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
L\u2019id\u00e9e semble bonne. Qui pourrait la contester ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Moi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
L\u2019excellent conseil de Covey s\u2019av\u00e8re tr\u00e8s efficace lorsqu\u2019il y a un \u00e9v\u00e9nement d\u00e9clencheur ou un stimulus ponctuel. Par exemple, il est tr\u00e8s prudent de ne pas r\u00e9agir pr\u00e9cipitamment lorsque votre fils vous dit qu\u2019il a rat\u00e9 son examen final. Mieux vaut prendre le temps de respirer. En fait, il est pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable d\u2019attendre quelques heures ou m\u00eame quelques jours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mais les march\u00e9s sont dynamiques. Souvent, le d\u00e9clin qui nous a mis en \u00e9tat d\u2019alerte hier se poursuit aujourd\u2019hui et continuera encore demain. Votre angoisse et votre inqui\u00e9tude ne font que grandir. Et surtout, vous \u00eates en col\u00e8re. Contre qui ? Vous-m\u00eame. \u00ab Pourquoi n\u2019ai-je pas \u00e9cout\u00e9 mon instinct et vendu d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but ? Quel idiot je suis ! J\u2019aurais d\u00fb me fier \u00e0 mon intuition. \u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La peur m\u00eal\u00e9e \u00e0 la col\u00e8re conduit rarement \u00e0 de bonnes d\u00e9cisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vous vendez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
On voit donc bien que le temps, \u00e0 lui seul, ne suffit pas toujours. D\u2019autres techniques sont n\u00e9cessaires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Et la meilleure des solutions, de loin, est de bien se renseigner sur la volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s. Il faut comprendre non seulement qu\u2019elle sera toujours pr\u00e9sente, mais aussi qu\u2019elle a de bons c\u00f4t\u00e9s. De bons c\u00f4t\u00e9s ? Est-ce que je plaisante ? Pas du tout. Si les investisseurs n\u2019avaient pas \u00e0 endurer ces montagnes russes, les rendements \u00e0 long terme des actions n\u2019existeraient tout simplement pas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Comprendre cela est essentiel. Reconna\u00eetre que la volatilit\u00e9 (y compris les reculs importants) est naturelle et in\u00e9vitable, et m\u00eame qu\u2019elle a de bons c\u00f4t\u00e9s est indispensable pour g\u00e9rer les \u00e9motions qu\u2019elle suscite. Cette compr\u00e9hension permet de r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir plus sereinement. Elle vous aide \u00e0 vous concentrer davantage sur le long terme et sur votre plan de placement. Le bruit qui entoure les difficult\u00e9s actuelles du march\u00e9 est att\u00e9nu\u00e9 par cette connaissance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Donc, quel est le meilleur conseil ? De toute \u00e9vidence, il faut d\u00e9velopper ses connaissances ! \u00c9tudiez le march\u00e9. Lisez. \u00c9quilibrez votre suivi des variations quotidiennes et des nouvelles concernant les soci\u00e9t\u00e9s de votre portefeuille par la lecture de classiques sur les placements. Consultez les donn\u00e9es historiques pour comprendre le pr\u00e9sent et planifier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ce n\u2019est pas une co\u00efncidence si les investisseurs qui parviennent \u00e0 suivre le conseil de Munger et \u00e0 ma\u00eetriser leurs \u00ab \u00e9motions brutes et irrationnelles \u00bb sont souvent ceux qui lisent tout ce qu\u2019ils peuvent de Munger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Les livres pourraient repr\u00e9senter votre meilleur investissement. (D\u2019accord, je suis un peu partial.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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