{"id":2322,"date":"2021-05-12T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-05-12T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/fr-ca\/2021\/05\/12\/how-canada-can-thrive-in-a-new-global-trade-landscape\/"},"modified":"2023-11-01T10:49:54","modified_gmt":"2023-11-01T14:49:54","slug":"how-canada-can-thrive-in-a-new-global-trade-landscape","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/fr-ca\/insights\/how-canada-can-thrive-in-a-new-global-trade-landscape","title":{"rendered":"Comment le Canada peut prosp\u00e9rer dans un nouveau contexte commercial mondial"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Naomi Powell<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Depuis le d\u00e9but du si\u00e8cle, les cha\u00eenes logistiques mondiales ont subi de dures \u00e9preuves : les attentats du 11 septembre, la crise financi\u00e8re mondiale, le tremblement de terre de Fukushima, le Brexit. Toutefois, rien ne se compare \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e que nous venons de vivre. Pensons \u00e0 la fermeture soudaine des usines chinoises, \u00e0 la ru\u00e9e mondiale vers les masques et les \u00e9quipements de protection individuelle, aux avions clou\u00e9s au sol pendant des mois \u00e0 cause des mesures sanitaires, et aux engorgements dans les ports. Vient ensuite le symbole supr\u00eame du chaos commercial provoqu\u00e9 par la COVID-19 : <\/span>Ever Given<\/i>, l\u2019un des plus grands porte-conteneurs au monde, coinc\u00e9 dans le canal de Suez. Heureusement, des dragueurs et des remorqueurs ont fini par r\u00e9ussir \u00e0 d\u00e9gager l\u2019immense navire. Diff\u00e9rents indices portent \u00e0 croire que plus rien ne sera comme avant apr\u00e8s cette pand\u00e9mie. Comme l\u2019a notamment r\u00e9it\u00e9r\u00e9 Brian Deese, le principal conseiller \u00e9conomique de la Maison-Blanche, sur Twitter apr\u00e8s la lib\u00e9ration de <\/span>Ever Given<\/i>, il est de plus en plus urgent d\u2019augmenter la r\u00e9silience des cha\u00eenes logistiques du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les \u00c9tats-Unis cherchent donc \u00e0 r\u00e9organiser leurs cha\u00eenes en fonction de nouvelles priorit\u00e9s : la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 nationale, les travailleurs, l\u2019environnement et le contexte g\u00e9opolitique. Pour l\u2019administration Biden, ces r\u00e9seaux forment les pierres d\u2019assise de la nouvelle strat\u00e9gie industrielle am\u00e9ricaine qui consiste \u00e0 rapatrier les activit\u00e9s de fabrication, \u00e0 investir dans les v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques, les batteries, les semi-conducteurs et d\u2019autres technologies propres, puis \u00e0 faire en sorte que les \u00c9tats-Unis gagnent la \u00ab course de l\u2019avenir \u00bb contre son rival, la Chine, en pleine ascension.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le Canada pourrait aussi bien avoir l\u2019occasion de r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer le terrain qu\u2019il a perdu, comme on peut le lire dans <\/span>le nouveau rapport <\/span>Interversion, publi\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment par Services \u00e9conomiques RBC. Jumel\u00e9es \u00e0 une alliance commerciale encore plus solide avec les \u00c9tats-Unis, les nouvelles strat\u00e9gies industrielles que mettra en place le Canada pourraient lui permettre de s\u2019implanter dans les cha\u00eenes logistiques des technologies de demain. Le Canada pourrait en profiter pour reconstruire sa puissance d\u2019exportation, qui s\u2019est amoindrie au cours des derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, en raison de la baisse de sa part du march\u00e9 am\u00e9ricain, et dans un contexte o\u00f9 les investissements r\u00e9sidentiels et les d\u00e9penses de consommation sont devenus les principaux moteurs de croissance \u00e9conomique. Il pourrait en outre saisir la chance de revitaliser des secteurs traditionnels fortement susceptibles de p\u00e2tir du passage aux technologies propres, soit l\u2019automobile, l\u2019\u00e9nergie, les m\u00e9taux et les min\u00e9raux, lesquels \u00e9quivalent \u00e0 plus de la moiti\u00e9 de ses exportations totales vers les \u00c9tats-Unis, soit 227 milliards de dollars en 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n
La r\u00e9ussite n\u2019est pas assur\u00e9e, car d\u2019autres pays se disputent une place dans les nouvelles cha\u00eenes logistiques qui soutiennent la plus grande \u00e9conomie du monde. Cela dit, le Canada a une bonne longueur d\u2019avance : il est profond\u00e9ment int\u00e9gr\u00e9 au secteur nord-am\u00e9ricain de l\u2019automobile, a conclu un accord de libre-\u00e9change avec les \u00c9tats-Unis et le Mexique, et poss\u00e8de des gisements de chaque min\u00e9ral essentiel utilis\u00e9 dans la fabrication de batteries de v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques ou en produit.<\/div>\n

<\/p><\/div>\n

<\/p><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Afin de livrer concurrence sur le plan des investissements, le Canada devra envisager de se doter d\u2019outils politiques modernes pour appuyer les biens strat\u00e9giques, y compris les v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques et les batteries qu\u2019ils utilisent, d\u2019autant plus que d\u2019autres pays offrent des mesures incitatives et des subventions. Le Canada devra \u00e9tablir des secteurs prioritaires pour l\u2019investissement, comme les infrastructures, et \u00e9laborer des strat\u00e9gies plus robustes de recherche et d\u00e9veloppement et de perfectionnement des comp\u00e9tences. Il devra travailler en \u00e9troite collaboration avec des partenaires internationaux cl\u00e9s. Les gains pourraient \u00eatre consid\u00e9rables et contribuer \u00e0 aider le Canada \u00e0 atteindre une cible ambitieuse, mais raisonnable, de 1 000 milliards de dollars de nouvelles exportations d\u2019ici 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voici le lien vers le rapport complet<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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