{"id":10809,"date":"2024-10-07T15:39:19","date_gmt":"2024-10-07T15:39:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/sc-asia\/?p=10809"},"modified":"2024-10-07T15:39:20","modified_gmt":"2024-10-07T15:39:20","slug":"economic-impacts-of-non-economic-policies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rbcwealthmanagement.com\/sc-asia\/insights\/economic-impacts-of-non-economic-policies","title":{"rendered":"\u975e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

17.09.24<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atul Bhatia<\/strong>\uff08\u7279\u8bb8\u8d22\u52a1\u5206\u6790\u5e08\uff09
\u7f8e\u56fd\u660e\u5c3c\u963f\u6ce2\u5229\u65af<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u8e0f\u5165\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230 2 \u9879\u975e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6027\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u79fb\u6c11\u9650\u5236\u7684\u52a0\u5f3a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u73af\u5883\u5e26\u6765\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u7ed3\u5408\u6700\u8fd1\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u5bf9\u884c\u653f\u6cd5\u7684\u5224\u51b3\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u91cd\u5927\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u65b0\u89c6\u89d2\u3001\u65b0\u653f\u7b56<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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2017 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u5bf9\u8fd1 3000 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5b9e\u65bd\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9650\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u4e00\u76f4\u7ef4\u6301\u81f3\u4eca\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u53c8\u88ab\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u62dc\u767b\uff08Joe Biden\uff09\u5ef6\u957f\u3002\u5171\u548c\u515a\u63d0\u540d\u4eba\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\u652f\u6301\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u5ef6\u957f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 10% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 60% \u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u63d0\u51fa\u5c06\u666e\u904d\u5173\u7a0e\u63d0\u9ad8 1 \u500d\u81f3 20%\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u201c\u53bb\u7f8e\u5143\u5316\u201d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f81\u6536 100% \u7684\u9644\u52a0\u8d39\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u63d0\u6848\u662f\u5426\u786e\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u3001\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u8d3a\u9526\u4e3d  (Kamala  Harris)  \u5bf9\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u8868\u793a\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u4f46\u8fc7\u53bb\u66fe\u652f\u6301\u57fa\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u8003\u91cf\u53ca\u52b3\u5de5\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u9650\u5236\u3002\u73b0\u4efb\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u5f00\u652f\u4e2d\u8981\u6c42\u66f4\u591a\u201c\u56fd\u5185\u5236\u9020\u201d\u7684\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f9b\u5e94\u5e02\u573a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u79fb\u6c11\u90fd\u4e0e\u4f9b\u5e94\u6709\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u521a\u8d85\u8fc7 4%\uff0c\u79fb\u6c11\u9650\u5236\u51e0\u4e4e\u65e0\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u5730\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u5f88\u96be\u627e\u5230\u5de5\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e1a\u8005\u7ed3\u4e1a\u3001\u6682\u505c\u8425\u8fd0\u6216\u7f29\u51cf\u5de5\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u75ab\u60c5\u590d\u82cf\u521d\u671f\u770b\u5230\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u52b3\u5de5\u4f9b\u5e94\u51cf\u5c11\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u786e\u5207\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6240\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6210\u6548\u5982\u4f55\uff08\u8fd9\u5f88\u96be\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6570\u636e\u6216\u660e\u786e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7ec6\u8282\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u589e\u52a0\u8d38\u6613\u9650\u5236\u4e5f\u975e\u5e38\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u7740\u91cd\u4e8e\u5546\u54c1\u800c\u975e\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u5173\u7a0e\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u4f1a\u8f6c\u5ac1\u81f3\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8eab\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5efa\u7acb\u6216\u63d0\u5347\u4ea7\u80fd\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5efa\u7acb\u5de5\u5382\u53ca\u6253\u9020\u56fd\u5185\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5de5\u4eba\u77ed\u7f3a\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u6ca1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5f25\u8865\u8fdb\u53e3\u51cf\u5c11\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7a7a\u7f3a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7b80\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u53d7\u9009\u6c11\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u652f\u6301\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u4f9b\u5e94\u9020\u6210\u969c\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5168\u7403\u5f81\u6536 10% \u5173\u7a0e\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f81\u6536 60% \u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n \n \n \n \u56fd\u5bb6<\/th>\n \u5b9e\u9645 GDP<\/th>\n \u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u901a\u80c0\u7387<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e<\/th>\n \u90e8\u5206\u5173\u7a0e<\/th>\n \u5168\u9762\u5173\u7a0e<\/th>\n \u90e8\u5206\u5173\u7a0e<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n \n \n \u7f8e\u56fd<\/td>\n -1.5<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n 0.8<\/td>\n 0.2<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u4e2d\u56fd<\/td>\n -1.6<\/td>\n -0.3<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u52a0\u62ff\u5927<\/td>\n -2.5<\/td>\n -0.3<\/td>\n 0.8<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u58a8\u897f\u54e5<\/td>\n -2.3<\/td>\n -0.3<\/td>\n -0.4<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u6b27\u5143\u533a<\/td>\n -1<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n -0.4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u82f1\u56fd<\/td>\n -0.7<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n -0.4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u65e5\u672c<\/td>\n -0.7<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n -0.6<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u5370\u5ea6<\/td>\n -0.3<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -0.9<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u5357\u97e9<\/td>\n -1.6<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n -0.7<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \u5168\u7403<\/td>\n -1.1<\/td>\n -0.2<\/td>\n -0.3<\/td>\n -0.1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

\u6ce8\uff1a2024 \u5e74 8 \u6708 5\u65e5\u3002\u4e24\u5e74\u540e GDP \u53ca\u6d88\u8d39\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u6b63\u5e38\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u504f\u5dee\uff08\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\uff09\u3002
\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\u2014RBC \u5168\u7403\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Eric Lascelles<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u5927\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u52a8\u5411<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u96ea\u4f5b\u9f99\u539f\u5219\uff08Chevron doctrine\uff09\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u73af\u5883\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e5f\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u53cb\u5584\u3002Chevron doctrine \u5df2\u6709 40 \u5e74\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u5b83\u8981\u6c42\u8054\u90a6\u6cd5\u5b98\u9075\u4ece\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6a21\u68f1\u4e24\u53ef\u7684\u6cd5\u5f8b\u8bed\u8a00\u7684\u201c\u5408\u7406\u201d\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u968f\u7740\u96ea\u4f5b\u9f99\u539f\u5219\u73b0\u5728\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u83b7\u5f97\u8fd9\u79cd\u5c0a\u91cd\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u540e\u679c\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u65b0\u6cd5\u89c4\u7684\u5b9e\u65bd\u65f6\u95f4\u5c06\u66f4\u957f\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u6027\u4e5f\u4f1a\u66f4\u5c11\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5feb\u901f\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u5e76\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u6da6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u9519\u8bef\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u6613\u4fee\u6b63<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9 GDP \u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"The<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\u2014RBC \u5168\u7403\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Eric Lascelles<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u52a8\u5411<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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