We analyse the key measures announced in Labour’s Autumn Budget and how they could impact your personal finances and investments.
The Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, has unveiled the Autumn Budget 2024, aiming to address a £22-billion fiscal “black hole” inherited from the previous government.
The Budget seeks to raise approximately £40 billion to support government programmes, while modifications to her fiscal rules will permit additional government borrowing to invest in initiatives designed to “boost long-term growth.”
Here, we break down the key measures that impact personal finances and investments, followed by insights from Guy Foster, our chief strategist, on the implications for the UK economy and its growth prospects.
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Commenting on the outlook for the UK economy, Guy Foster, chief strategist at RBC Brewin Dolphin, said:
“The Chancellor’s budget saw a lot of change but there will be some relief about the overall economic impact, especially as the Chancellor vowed to raise over £40 billion through tax increases. Despite this, this was technically a generous budget as the government spent more than they plan to raise in new taxes. As a result, taxes are forecast to rise to their highest share of GDP on record by 2026.
The government’s focus on protecting ‘working people’ from direct tax impacts will lead to a limited impact on households. However, businesses will bear the biggest burden through an increase in their NI contributions. The Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimate that three-quarters of the impact will ultimately be passed on to employees through lower effective wage growth, with the remaining quarter being reflected in lower profit.
The budget’s impact on markets was relatively modest. Small companies on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) performed well, as the changes to tax breaks were less severe than anticipated. UK borrowing costs also increased only moderately, and the pound strengthened. Looking ahead, the OBR expects positive UK growth over the next two years, albeit at a slightly slower pace in the following years.
With regards to inflation, having fallen back to around the two percent target in mid-2024, the OBR expect consumer price inflation to pick up to 2.6 percent in 2025 partly due to the direct and indirect impact of Budget measures. This could see interest rates reduce at a slower pace than expected.”
While this list of measures is not exhaustive, we have highlighted what we consider the main points impacting personal finances and investments. For more detail, speak to an appropriate professional adviser.
Please note: The information provided should not be mistaken for formal planning advice; it is imperative that you seek relevant advice for your own personal circumstances. RBC do not provide tax or legal advice and we would recommend that you seek appropriate advice in these areas. Rates of tax will be based on individual circumstance and tax rules are subject to change. The value of investments, and any income from them, can fall and you may get back less than you invested. Neither simulated nor actual past performance are reliable indicators of future performance.
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This article was updated in Nov. 2024.
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